Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.160119 0.180223 0.201279 0.224923 0.250678 0.277828 0.308558
2025-02-16 0.133813 0.161088 0.191109 0.226416 0.266613 0.310762 0.362718
2025-02-23 0.117869 0.150363 0.187667 0.233258 0.287056 0.348094 0.422138
2025-03-02 0.100610 0.135678 0.177575 0.230633 0.295308 0.370843 0.464941
2025-03-09 0.087923 0.124841 0.170593 0.230415 0.305454 0.395324 0.509854
2025-03-16 0.076975 0.114850 0.163448 0.228913 0.313217 0.416507 0.550839
2025-03-23 0.070320 0.109677 0.161751 0.233743 0.328567 0.447000 0.603668
2025-03-30 0.062916 0.102639 0.156844 0.233726 0.337240 0.468945 0.646015
2025-04-06 0.056437 0.096199 0.152099 0.233342 0.345007 0.489550 0.686803
2025-04-13 0.050802 0.090393 0.147682 0.232905 0.352340 0.509445 0.726819
2025-04-20 0.046544 0.086225 0.145206 0.234838 0.362689 0.533309 0.772305
2025-04-27 0.043895 0.084296 0.145791 0.241001 0.378896 0.565209 0.828936
2025-05-04 0.039912 0.079989 0.142715 0.241954 0.388223 0.588655 0.875747
2025-05-11 0.036941 0.077065 0.141517 0.245534 0.401306 0.617488 0.930445
2025-05-18 0.035300 0.076259 0.143543 0.253988 0.421625 0.656767 1.000195
2025-05-25 0.031661 0.071524 0.138890 0.251841 0.426165 0.673913 1.039691
2025-06-01 0.028835 0.067960 0.135865 0.251981 0.433954 0.695676 1.085889
2025-06-08 0.026027 0.064113 0.132055 0.250582 0.439220 0.713788 1.127155
2025-06-15 0.024580 0.062768 0.132419 0.255886 0.454800 0.747052 1.190406
2025-06-22 0.022453 0.059809 0.129718 0.255937 0.462129 0.768308 1.236782
2025-06-29 0.020466 0.056905 0.126888 0.255564 0.468667 0.788410 1.281736
2025-07-06 0.018655 0.054160 0.124131 0.255117 0.474967 0.808172 1.326425
2025-07-13 0.017318 0.052311 0.122905 0.257206 0.485315 0.834133 1.380526